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What to know about Hurricane Milton as it churns toward Gulf Coast

A man puts a cat carrier with a car into a car.
Rebecca Blackwell
/
AP
Ted Carlson puts his best friend Evan Purcell's cat McKenzie into a pick-up truck as the pair recover her along with other important items from Purcell's home ahead of the arrival of Hurricane Milton, as debris from Hurricane Helene damage to Purcell's garage level still sits alongside the driveway, in Holmes Beach on Anna Maria Island, Fla., Tuesday, Oct. 8, 2024. "This place couldn't handle Helene," said Carlson, predicting. "It's all going to be gone."

Updated Oct. 9 at 1:15 p.m.

As powerful charged through the Gulf of Mexico toward Florida on Wednesday, officials said time was running out for people to evacuate — and the odds of survival were bleak for holdouts determined to stay.

was at on Wednesday morning after spending much of Tuesday as a Category 5 storm. It is threatening , a major population center that is home to more than 3.3 million people and has managed to evade a direct hit from a major hurricane for over 100 years. With and winds picking up, Milton is menacing communities battered when deadly Hurricane Helene came ashore , swamping the coastline.

Millions have been and in the Tampa Bay area, counties are using multiple means of communication to urge people to leave vulnerable areas. By early Wednesday, the normally busy interstate leading into downtown Tampa was mostly free of vehicles and few cars moved on side streets. were hard-pressed to find stations that weren’t closed or boarded up.

National Hurricane Center forecasters warned Milton is “expected to remain an extremely dangerous major hurricane” when it reaches Florida's coast.

Follow The Associated Press’ coverage of tropical weather at .

When will Milton make landfall and how strong will it be?

Milton is expected to make landfall on Florida's Gulf Coast late Wednesday.

“We are bracing and prepared to receive a major hit,” Gov. Ron DeSantis said at a Wednesday briefing.

As of Wednesday morning, the storm was about 160 miles (260 kilometers) southwest of Tampa with sustained winds of 145 mph (230 kph).

The storm is expected to retain hurricane strength as it crosses central Florida on Thursday toward the Atlantic Ocean.

President Joe Biden, an so he could remain at the White House to monitor Milton, warned it “could be one of the worst storms in 100 years to hit Florida."

Why are scientists saying this is a weird storm season?Milton is just the latest system in a storm season they’ve ever seen.

Forecasters predicted a busy Atlantic hurricane season, and it began when Beryl became the to reach status. But from Aug. 20 — the traditional start of peak hurricane season — to Sept. 23 it was record quiet, said Colorado State University hurricane researcher Phil Klotzbach.

Then, five hurricanes popped up between Sept. 26 and Oct. 6 — more than double the old record of two. On Sunday and Monday, there were three hurricanes in October at the same time, which had never happened before, Klotzbach said. In just 46 1/2 hours, Hurricane Milton went from forming as a tropical storm with 40 mph winds to a top-of-the-charts .

With of millions in the U.S., some might wonder if it's events. But scientists say hurricanes are too powerful for that, and is providing more fuel than ever for storms like Helene and Milton.

How bad is damage expected to be?

Florida's Gulf Coast is especially .

about 180 miles (290 kilometers) north of Tampa and still caused due to surges that were about 5 to 8 feet (1.5 to 2.5 meters) above normal tide levels.

With Milton, forecasters warn of a possible 8- to 12-foot (2- to 3.5-meter) storm surge in Tampa Bay, and just south of there, from Anna Maria Island to Boca Grande, a surge of up to 15 feet (5 meters) feet was possible.

In St. Petersburg, located on Tampa Bay, officials said residents should prepare for extended power outages and the possible shutdown of its sewage system. Mayor Ken Welch said it wasn't a storm that the area would recover from quickly: “We have a long road ahead of us.”

Milton is forecast to cross central Florida and dump as much as 18 inches (46 centimeters) of rain while heading toward the Atlantic Ocean, according to the hurricane center.

What if I have travel plans to Florida?

Tampa International Airport Tuesday morning, posting on X that it is not a shelter for people or their cars. Nearby St. Pete-Clearwater International Airport said it was in a mandatory evacuation zone and closed after the last flight left Tuesday. It said all flights were canceled Wednesday and Thursday.

, about 84 miles (135 kilometers) inland from Tampa, started grinding to a halt Tuesday. Orlando International Airport — the nation’s seventh busiest and Florida’s most trafficked — ceased operations Wednesday. And at least three major theme parks — Walt Disney World, Universal Orlando and SeaWorld — will close.

What's the connection between the Waffle House and hurricanes?

For some residents of storm-prone Southeastern states, the best can be found at the local Waffle House.

If the Georgia-based restaurant chain stays open in town, neighbors are reassured that the coming storm is unlikely to cause devastation. A closed location of the diner has come to indicate impending disaster.

What might sound like silly logic has become one of the most reliable ways for Southerners and even federal officials to gauge a storm’s severity and identify communities most in need of immediate aid. The Waffle House Index was created over a decade ago by a federal emergency management official.

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